Judging by 22 Bahman, I predict there will be even less people in the streets this year than normal, people will not let their kids go outside and be easy pray for the regime's hooligans at night when people are the most vulnerable ... as shown by previous experiences at night time violence ...
As for the explosives, doesn't really matter ... this isn't an armed battle and even if it was, those typically with access to "narenjak" aren't the demographics most politically active, they are a bunch of high school kids ...
I might sound pessimistic, it's because I am. This movement in my opinion can survive only so long without clear and strong leadership and when we always pin all our hopes to the next event, for which the government has ample time to prep you can only expect another propeganda show.
I'm still positive about the long term outcomes of the movement, the country is unofficially shut down and all the efforts of the government are focused on containing the people and nothing is getting done, the sad thing about that is that people will suffer and IR will live to see another day ... in my opinion this stalemate will continue to exist until a major event takes place where a wider range of demographics have enough vested to join forces against IR
