Egypt and Iran; different paths of people power -- AP

Pahlevoon Nayeb

National Team Player
Oct 17, 2002
4,138
0
Poshteh Kooh
#1
Egypt and Iran; Different looks at people power




AP – FILE - In this Feb. 16, 1950 file picture, the Shah of Iran Mohammad Reza Pahlavi reads his inaugural …

By ROBERT H. REID, Associated Press – 2 hrs 46 mins ago


CAIRO – No sooner had the announcement come than the streets of Cairo exploded in joyful celebration. The hated autocrat was gone. A new era was ushered in with cheers, tears and the cacophony of car horns.


And so it was in [COLOR=#366388 !important][COLOR=#366388 !important]Tehran
[/COLOR] — 32 years before to the day.


On Feb. 11, 1979, the commander of the Iranian air force announced on national radio that the armed forces were withdrawing from the fight to save the American-backed regime of [COLOR=#366388 !important][COLOR=#366388 !important]Shah [COLOR=#366388 !important]Mohammed [/COLOR][COLOR=#366388 !important]Reza[/COLOR][COLOR=#366388 !important]Pahlavi[/COLOR][/COLOR][/COLOR], who had already fled the country three weeks before in the face of burgeoning street protests against his autocratic rule.

With the military gone, the Iranian monarchy collapsed and with it any chance that the shah would return from what had been spun as a vacation — ironically to Anwar Sadat's Egypt.

As the troops returned to barracks, Tehran erupted into wild celebrations — punctuated by the deafening din of thousands of horns.

The popular revolt against the shah raised alarm bells in the West, which saw the prickly monarch as a trusted ally and counterweight to hard-line Arab regimes and Palestinian radicals. The face of the revolution was [COLOR=#366388 !important][COLOR=#366388 !important]Ayatollah [COLOR=#366388 !important]Ruhollah [/COLOR][COLOR=#366388 !important]Khomeini[/COLOR][/COLOR][/COLOR], whose demeanor, vehemently anti-American rhetoric and stern interpretation of Islam challenged not only Western interests but also Western values.


Egypt's revolutionaries of today appear far less threatening, representing a broad spectrum of Internet-savvy youth, mainstream politicians and Islamists bound together by hatred of President Hosni Mubarak and a desire for a more open, democratic system. The closest thing to a symbol of Egypt's uprising was a 30-year-old Google executive, whose passionate, tearful remarks made on a [COLOR=#366388 !important][COLOR=#366388 !important]private [COLOR=#366388 !important]television [/COLOR][COLOR=#366388 !important]station[/COLOR][/COLOR][/COLOR] after his release from detention drove many modern-thinking, middle-class Egyptians into the streets.​

Nevertheless, the images from Tehran a generation ago and from Cairo on Friday's "Night of Liberation" were uncannily familiar. The palpable sense of relief. The euphoria among the government's opponents. The carnival-like atmosphere. The explosion of national pride. And the blind faith that the new regime would be more just, more equitable and more democratic than the old.​

Iran's masses were no less hungry for democracy than the Egyptians who crowded into Cairo's central Tahrir Square to demand an end to Mubarak's rule. Where the Iranians put their trust in Muslim clerics to bring about a just and equitable society, the Egyptians turned to the secular-minded army to give the Mubarak regime a final push.​

Egypt's young revolutionaries used the tools of the 21st century — the Internet, Facebook and Twitter — to organize the first protests in late January. After the government unplugged the Internet and shut down mobile phones, Egyptians turned to Arabic language television stations — Al-Jazeera, Al-Arabiya and Alhurra — for word of what was happening on the streets.​

No such technological wonders were available to the Iranian opposition. Messages and sermons from Ayatollah Khomeini, who was in exile in [COLOR=#366388 !important][COLOR=#366388 !important]Paris[/COLOR][/COLOR] until the final days of the uprising, were spread by cassette tapes that were smuggled into the country, copied and distributed to mosques throughout the country.​

From the mosques, information spread by word of mouth through a nationwide network of clerics and intellectuals who grew ever bolder as the shah's security services began to disintegrate.​

Instead of turning to the likes of Al-Jazeera for news, Iranians relied on crackling shortwave broadcasts by the British Broadcasting Corp.'s Persian language service, which the shah's government tried repeatedly to jam. At one time or another, nearly every Western journalist in Iran pretended to be from the BBC when confronted by protesters who were sometimes hostile to Americans. Every Khomeini supporter seemed to know how to say in English: "Ah, you BBC? BBC very good."​

Tehran University was transformed into a giant speaker's corner, where people could come every day to listen to anti-regime clerics rail against the shah and his American backers.​

It took Egypt's demonstrators only 18 days to force out Mubarak, who had ruled the country for nearly three decades. Although arson and looting broke out briefly in late January — presumably instigated by state security to frighten the public and discredit the protests — the anti-Mubarak movement was remarkably peaceful and disciplined. Most of the violence appeared instigated by the police and thugs believed paid by the ruling party, who ran wild for a few days until the army reined them in.​

Banks closed and ATMs ran out of cash. Groceries began running short on supplies. By and large, however, life in much of the capital continued as it had before — even as crowds in Tahrir Square grew ever larger.​

Not so the Iranian uprising. It began in January 1978 with street demonstrations against the shah. By the end of the year, the country was paralyzed by strikes and demonstrations. Government ministries all but ceased functioning. Airlines stopped flying to Tehran. With a daily 9 p.m. curfew, which was brutally enforced in the capital, Iranians huddled in their dark, unheated homes, listening to the periodic bursts of gunfire that punctuated the night.​

Protesters grew ever more violent. The shah's Imperial Guard did not hesitate to fire on unarmed demonstrators, some of whom were willing — sometimes even eager — for martyrdom. Comrades would cheer and shout "martyr" as their fellow protesters fell to gunfire.​

Violence was not limited to government forces. Young demonstrators hurled firebombs — gasoline poured into soft drink bottles and lit with a rag — at the Guardsmen. A [COLOR=#366388 !important][COLOR=#366388 !important]police [COLOR=#366388 !important]colonel[/COLOR][/COLOR][/COLOR] was dragged from his car and beaten into a fatal coma as protesters ripped off parts of his uniform and threw them into the trees.​

Food supplies, electricity and cooking gas were scarce.​

As chaos engulfed Tehran, the shah left on Jan. 16, 1979, leaving the government in the hands of his appointed prime minister. Khomeini returned two weeks later to a massive reception by millions of people.
Less than two weeks after Khomeini returned, air force technicians at a base in Tehran mutinied, setting off a day and night of street fighting. A monarchial system that had lasted for more than 2,000 years crumbled.
Egypt's revolt achieved its main goal — Mubarak's ouster — before the conflict had torn apart the fabric of Egyptian society.​

After Mubarak resigned Friday, Egyptians partied in the streets, waved huge flags, set off fireworks and sang patriotic songs until dawn.​

Three decades before, the collapse of the shah's regime triggered three terrifying days of looting, arson and street fighting. Pro-Khomeini groups stormed prisons and police stations, looting weapons and hunting down Imperial Guardsmen and other members of the old regime. The yearlong revolution had polarized society and built up tensions that exploded as the Khomeini loyalists struggled to restore order.​

A fanatical mullah broadcast a call on state radio to hunt down and punish foreigners, prompting Khomeini's staff to issue a counter order to protect non-Iranians. Rival militias seized the Intercontinental Hotel, home to most foreign journalists, until Khomeini loyalists arrived and ran them off.​

The shah's regime resisted the demands of the street and collapsed, setting in motion social and political forces that still trouble the country and the region a generation later. Mubarak stepped down, and the world now waits to see if the fallout will be different.
___
Robert H. Reid, Middle East Regional Editor for The Associated Press, has covered the region since 1978.​

[/COLOR]​
 

Flint

Legionnaire
Jan 28, 2006
7,016
0
United States
#2
The article refers to Mubarak's "ouster". The plan seems to have been to remove Mubarak from public eye in order to save the system. Shah wanted to do the same with Bakhtiar but Khomeini didn't settle for half a loaf. I am certain sooner or later somebody is going to ask for Mubarak's head and this "peaceful" revolution will come to an end. King Farouk was also deposed by the military half a century ago while promising democracy.
 
Oct 18, 2002
11,593
3
#3
The article refers to Mubarak's "ouster". The plan seems to have been to remove Mubarak from public eye in order to save the system. Shah wanted to do the same with Bakhtiar but Khomeini didn't settle for half a loaf.
The problem with Shah was that he was way too late. If in September 1978 (right after the Eid Fetr demonstration and before 17 Shahrivar) Shah had abdicated or transferred power to a royal council and appointed someone like Dr. Amini or Dr. Sedighi as PM, the outocme could have been different. At that time Khomeini was not yet the undisputed leader of the opposition, Jebheh Melli and leftists had not joined coalition with Khomeini, people had not been hardened by the street killings and demonstrations, and the army was pretty much intact. It would have been far easier to preserve the system if someone with more foresight and less delusion was in charge.

In such situations the only way to preserve the system is to throw a big bone to the people so that they get a sense of achievement. I doubt by next week you see more than a few hundreds in Tahrir square. The late Shah always conceded too little, too late, as reflected in the slogans of people back then: Ma migim shah nemikhaim nokhost vazir avaz misheh".
 

Flint

Legionnaire
Jan 28, 2006
7,016
0
United States
#4
It is hard to speculate how events would have turned out in Iran. I would be very surprised that in a few months not to see people scratching their heads and saying wait a minute, the same guys are in power. The military has run Egypt for 50 years. I am afraid that anything other than a rooftop-like solution will not dislodge them.
 

khodam

Bench Warmer
Oct 18, 2002
2,458
88
Atlanta
#5
The problem with Shah was that he was way too late. If in September 1978 (right after the Eid Fetr demonstration and before 17 Shahrivar) Shah had abdicated or transferred power to a royal council and appointed someone like Dr. Amini or Dr. Sedighi as PM, the outocme could have been different. At that time Khomeini was not yet the undisputed leader of the opposition, Jebheh Melli and leftists had not joined coalition with Khomeini, people had not been hardened by the street killings and demonstrations, and the army was pretty much intact. It would have been far easier to preserve the system if someone with more foresight and less delusion was in charge.

In such situations the only way to preserve the system is to throw a big bone to the people so that they get a sense of achievement. I doubt by next week you see more than a few hundreds in Tahrir square. The late Shah always conceded too little, too late, as reflected in the slogans of people back then: Ma migim shah nemikhaim nokhost vazir avaz misheh".
That is an excellent point. I think September 78 was still too late, but he could have done this early 57. The choices for PMs that he made were mockery of people's will; he put a puppet after another to show he's listening to people. His only half-decent choice in Bakhtiar came after he had no credibility left.