business interests are already lining up to get into iran.the apartheid regimes in
isreal ad saudi will be acting extremely irrational as the sanctions against iran get
evaporated little by little.
[h=2]'Chance of a Century': International Investors Flock to Tehran[/h] Daniel Bernbeck has learned that in Tehran there's no point getting worked up about things like the gridlock between Gholhak, his neighborhood in the northern part of the city, and downtown, where his office is located. Here he is again, stuck in traffic, with everyone honking their horns. Tehran is a murderous city, says Bernbeck, even without international sanctions and threats of attack from Israel. Bernbeck is sitting in a gray SUV. He's a wiry, tall blond man who wears lawyer-like glasses. The only departure from the standard business look is a narrow soul patch on his chin, which suggests a certain degree of individualism. His cell phone rings. Bernbeck's Iranian secretary is on the line. She's expecting him, and the deputy German ambassador has also arrived, along with two investment bankers from London and Hong Kong. They are asking about stock tips for Iran."Iranian stocks for Hong Kong?" Bernbeck exclaims with a grin, and then says in his best Farsi: "The same bankers would have said a year ago: You're crazy." Then he asks the driver to hurry up, although it doesn't do any good.
the interim deal between iran and the usa is finalized today and start date is set for jan. 20th.
this is an inflection point in iranian/american relations.
obama has shown great leadership so far and is telling everyone in blunt term that he will not allow
the agents of the apartheid regimes in isreal and saudi to derail his efforts.
"Unprecedented sanctions and tough diplomacy helped to bring Iran to the negotiating table, and I'm grateful to our partners in Congress who share our goal of preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon," Obama said. "Imposing additional sanctions now will only risk derailing our efforts to resolve this issue peacefully, and I will veto any legislation enacting new sanctions during the negotiation."
now even the commentators on the foxy news are seeing the reality that
is unfolding in front of their wide open eyes.
[h=1]Is Rouhani right? Iran now poised to become Alpha Dog of Middle East[/h]It’s time for a reality check. The deal with the Persian nation makes it clear we are leaving the region, and leaving Iran in charge.
Iran is now poised to become the Alpha Dog of the Middle East – the dominant economic, military and political power in the region that controls the world’s exported oil.
very important article by the 2 most pro-iran analysts in washington.they have maintained
their pro-iran line since 2003 and frankly should be consulted by obama regarding the negotiations
U.S. foreign policy elites often speak in their own echo chamber of acceptable thought and thus grow more and more detached from the real world. Such a case is the recent punditry about Iran, as Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett describe.
even the folks at the very pro israel and right wing american enterprise institute are finally
seeing the writing on the wall,pun fully intended,on what was suggested in this thread as
obama going for his china moment a la nixon with iran.
Is Barack Obama trying to shift alliances in the Middle East away from traditional allies and toward Iran? Robert Kaplan, author and geopolitical analyst for the Stratford consulting firm, thinks so.
In a realclearworld.com article, Kaplan argues that the Obama administration sees the recently elected Iranian President Hassan Rouhani “as a potential Deng Xiao-ping, someone from within the ideological solidarity system who can, measure-by-stealthy-measure, lead his country away from ideology and toward internal reform.”
Such a development, he goes on, is “something that could, in turn, result in an understanding with the West.”
the criminals running the apartheid regime in isreal are becoming more and more
delusional and disturbed in their public talks.as the extent of the new obama plan
for the middle east is absorbed by them they become more vicious in their wild
attacks against him and his administration.
obama is as cool as a cucumber for now though but will hit back at them when
they least expect it and where it hurts them the most.
i am looking forward to that hit!
[h=1]Israeli Defense Minister: Obama projects "Weakness"; Israel can't rely on US to deal with Iran[/h] In a wide-ranging discussion reported in the Israeli newspaper Ha’aretz, Israel’s plain-speaking defence minister Moshe Ya’alon said Monday that Tehran has the upper hand in nuclear negotiations, and dismissed the idea of Israeli dependence on the United States to lead an action against Iran’s nuclear program, saying that Israel can only rely on itself.
with the predicted(see 1st post in this thread) rapprochement between iran and the u.s. well
on it's way the apartheid regimes in isreal & saudi are becoming increasingly desperate and
isolated.the initial shock to them was followed with a reactionary response in syria.but iran
was well prepared and with the help of it's allies in lebanon was able to stop and reverse the
jihadist terrorist gains in syria and prevent it from spreading to proper lebanon.this process
has been evolving for some time and the aforementioned regimes smarting with these strategic defeats
have not sat idle either.their latest attempt in their proxy war with iran is even a more dangerous
gambit which is further proof of their desperation and total disorientation.
this new gambit is a variation of another tried strategy but with a more direct and deadly spin which also
involves the tacit approval of a nation state in the region.after the spectacular capture of the head of jundullah,
in a daring aerial interception,the south east region of iran saw some relative calm.jundullah was never directly
supported by iran's immediate neighbors.the replacement terrorist organization which calls itself jaish al adl
in contrast seems to have direct support from some elements in one of the iran's neighboring nation states.this
support started in a more direct fashion as soon as a saudi stooge was allowed to return and become the head of
this nation state.his well known connections to the apartheid regime in saudi and their partners in crime the
isrealies is well documented.his long exile in saudi and wiki leaks cables in which prince alwaleed bin talal
called him "our man" to name a couple of examples.and the recent revelation that saudi was the source of the
$1.5B contribution to the 'development fund" of their stooge was the latest confirmation of the ongoing scheme.
so it was not a total surprise that the new terrorist outfit,jaish al adl,announced the kidnapping of 5 iranian border
guards.today comes the news that one of these guards has been executed and an ultimatum that the others will be executed
one by one if the demands of the terrorists are not met.the message is clear and displays the total confusion and
desperation in the criminals who fund and arm these terrorists.
the response from iran will be a key test of the new rouhani administration.since it came into office the new
president has been hitting all the right notes in order to reduce the tensions with the rulers in the southern
persian gulf region.but with the increasing desperation and belligerent behavior exhibited by these rulers and
their isreali allies mr. rouhani has no choice but to respond with extreme precision to these provocations.if the
news of the hostage execution,during the iranian new year holidays,is confirmed iranians of all political persuasion
will demand a very forceful response from him.and the enemies of iran will be judging him based on this response.
hence the need for extreme precision on his part in calibrating his response to the stooge in the neighboring nation state and
his sugar daddys in isreal and saudi.
according to reports the latest round of negotiations between iran and e3+3 reached
an impasse in vienna.according to reza khalili,who claims to be a cia man,iran surprised the
other side by raising their demands and issuing a new set of red lines that totally did a drive
by on e3+3.
• The acceptance of Iran’s need for enrichment on a level that feeds the need of the country (the country has over 19,000 centrifuges, far more than is needed for peaceful nuclear purposes, and would like to expand).
• The preservation of the Arak heavy-water plant (the plant once operational could produce plutonium and serve the ruling clerics with a second path to nuclear weapons).
• No interference or limitation to the country’s military and defensive measures (the Islamic regime is under U.N. sanctions for developing ballistic missiles and it currently holds the largest missile stockpile in the Middle East with ranges capable of reaching as far as Europe).
• The removal of all sanctions at once as opposed to step-by-step relief (the U.N. resolutions and sanctions in place are the results of efforts by several U.S. administrations and over a decade of negotiations).
we have talked about the american pivot towards asia.in chinese
media they have been tracking a similar pivot of china towards the
middle east.this article from an turkish scholar goes into details about
this pivot and how turkey lost out to iran in order to be the main partner
for china in the middle east.in particular it lists iran's successful gambit in syria
in defending the legal government against the jihadist terrorists.this success will
culminate in 3 days in the presidential elections in syria.
[h=1]Iran, Turkey and China’s Middle Eastern Pivot[/h]Thanks to events in Russia and Syria, Turkey lost its rivalry with Iran to be China’s Middle Eastern pivot. Here’s how.
.......... However, Turkey looks increasingly unlikely to continue rivaling Iran as China’s Middle Eastern pivot, and the primary reason is the trajectory of the Syrian civil war. Investing politically in the decisive removal of Bashar al-Assad, Turkey’s Syria policy since mid-2011 has focused on supporting any and all Syrian opposition groups. To that end, Ankara’s initial support for the Free Syrian Army (FSI) evolved as the Syrian opposition’s frustration with its inability to achieve quick victory lead to the radicalization of the groups, and eventually the arrival on the battlefield of the Al-Nusra Front and Islamic Front variants. Ankara’s inadequate assessment of the extent of these groups’ demands and priorities created an erratic Syria policy in which some splinter groups Turkey supported have turned against it.
........... Turkey’s self-inflicted entanglements in Syria, where it was supposed to demonstrate its growing independence from NATO, paradoxically created a situation in which – along with Russia’s looming expansion in the Black Sea – Ankara needs NATO now more than it did at any time in the last decade. And Tehran doesn’t. Iran has also successfully contained Turkish overtures into Syria and thus is in a much stronger strategic position. That’s why Turkish-Iranian competition to be China’s Middle Eastern pivot has ended with an Iranian win. Turkish-China relations will of course remain productive in the foreseeable future, but Turkey has lost Beijing’s immediate favors to Iran.
well it's been 18 months after i started this thread and it's basic notions
about the dynamics of the new order and iran's role in it.a lot has happened
since then both transient more permanent in nature.basically everything has gone
pretty much as predicted.the canonical idea of the write up was to expose the readers
to the fact that iran and usa were/are in an inflection point on the historical trajectory of
their mutual relations.luckily both sides had realized the significance of this historic moment.
the process was never anticipated to be smooth.the anti-iran forces in the middle east
finally grasped the dynamics of the underlying process,maybe a little too late,but once that
happened they started with various efforts to put an stop to it.the evolving unrest in syria
gave them their best chance to delay or completely derail this process.what followed was perhpas
the biggest tactical mistake made by these forces led by the apartheid regimes in isreal and saudi
with significant financial help from other persian gulf monarchies.the turks dreaming about starting
a new ottoman empire signed on to this effort by allowing their borders with syria to become a
holiday inn for jihadist terrorists going in and out of syria.they had some initial success but iran
quickly came to the help of syrians and eventually help them to stop their advances and then
decimate them.once these jihadist terrorists were defeated in syria they branched out to iraq
in order to stretch the battlefield and drain iranian resources.by that time the iranian and american
negotiations had significant progress and there was no going back.realizing this the jihadist terrosits
were ordered to behead some americans as a last ditch effort to stop the process.but this had the
opposite effect and actually mobilized both american public and policy making opinion against them.
this was pretty much the end of the opposition and the start of capitulation.this can be seen by the
recent events in yemen were an iranian backed shia group has signed a power sharing agreement
with the government with full support of the saudis.at the same time the saudi foreign minister has
met with his iranian counter part to pretty much acknowledge defeat and start a new chapter in
the relations between the two countries under the new realities.and last but not least the british pm
cameroon is due to meet the iranian president in new york this week.this is the very first time a
sitting pm has done this and he is perhaps there to convey the 'western' capitulation message to
iran on behalf of nato.meanwhile the apartheid regime in isreal has beomce totally isolated and irrelevant
in the region and is so desperate that today in order to gain some attention they had to shot down a
syrian fighter jet.in summary,iran played a masterful geopolitical game with a very limited hand
that eventually has made them the big winner in all the recent events in the region.
it's pretty gratifying to see even the pretty talking heads on fox news are now calling on iran
to come to their help and save the day for them.
and the capitulation continues.iran is acting with great
generosity in not shaming eu in public and letting them
[h=1]EU turns to Iran as alternative to Russian gas[/h]
The European Union is quietly increasing the urgency of a plan to import natural gas from Iran, as relations with Tehran thaw, while those with top gas supplier Russia grow colder.
Two "ifs" - the removal of sanctions on Iran and the addition of some pipeline infrastructure - are not preventing EU planners preparing, a European Commission source involved in developing EU energy strategy told Reuters.
"Iran is far towards the top of our priorities for mid-term measures that will help reduce our reliance on Russian gas supplies," the source said. "Iran's gas could come to Europe quite easily and politically there is a clear rapprochement between Tehran and the West."
they are not doing the touchdown dance in the end zone yet
but iranians must be pretty pleased with the way events have
shaped up the region in the last few months.the failure of the
syrian gambit by the anti-iran forces in the region seems to be
sinking in at least the 'western' part of the alliance.this is a well
written piece by dr. marandi on how iran has become the model
to follow after all it is said and done.
........ The single force that has blocked this emerging threat from imposing its hegemony from Damascus to Baghdad - perhaps even from Beirut to Riyadh - is the Islamic Republic of Iran. Endless western attempts to destabilise the Iranian political model have ended in failure - and today, as a result of illegal western support for extremists in Syria and continued violation of its sovereignty, the Islamic Republic is now leading the region's struggle against extremism and emerging global powers increasingly recognise this.
iran can afford to play hardball now.they got the ball in the red
zone.first and goal on the 5 yard line.
[h=1]Iran refuses entry to UN nuclear watchdog envoy[/h]
VIENNA (AP) — A new U.N. effort to probe suspicions that Iran worked on atomic arms ended on a downbeat note Thursday, with diplomats saying that Tehran refused entry to Iran to a U.S. nuclear expert on the U.N.'s investigating team.
The diplomats also said that the trip this week didn't succeed in advancing a decade of U.N. efforts to investigate suspicions that Tehran worked on such weapons.
Iranian envoy Reza Najafi confirmed that an International Atomic Energy Agency staff member of a "particular nationality" was refused a visa.
the best u.s.secretary of state in recent memory is now giving
hints to the policymakers along the same lines i have been advocating
for a long time.this man could have made a great president but the jew
lobby never trusted him since he did not ever bow them.
[h=1]James Baker: Iran May Be 'Quietly' Helping US Against ISIS[/h]
Despite longstanding divisions between the countries, Iran may be helping the United States in its fight against the Islamic State (ISIS), says former Secretary of State James Baker.
"I wouldn't be surprised if Iran is not helping us quietly," Baker said in an interview with Tom Brokaw aired Sunday on "Meet the Press."
incidentally mr. baker will be giving a lecture on iran at princeton tomorrow.
Former U.S. Secretary of State James A. Baker III, a member of Princeton's Class of 1952, will give the inaugural lecture of the Sharmin and Bijan Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Iran and Persian Gulf Studies at 5 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 14, in McCormick Hall, Room 101. He will speak on "Iran: 35 Years after the Revolution." A reception will follow; both are free and open to the public.
the negotiations with iran are entering the most sensitive and
important stage in the next few days.everyone and their uncle in the
region is jockeying to secure their best possible position post an iran/usa
deal.the pivot to iran appears to be fully supported by both parties despite
the occasional barking by the aipac agents in the congress.i recommend the
crime minister of the apartheid regime in isreal and the his saudi pasl to be
put under a 24/7 suicide watch once a deal is announced.
Obama Wrote Secret Letter to Iran’s Khamenei About Fighting Islamic State
WASHINGTON—President Barack Obama secretly wrote to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the middle of last month and described a shared interest in fighting Islamic State militants in Iraq and Syria, according to people briefed on the correspondence.
The letter appeared aimed both at buttressing the campaign against Islamic State and nudging Iran’s religious leader closer to a nuclear deal.
Mr. Obama stressed to Mr. Khamenei that any cooperation on Islamic State was largely contingent on Iran reaching a comprehensive agreement with global powers on the future of Tehran’s nuclear program by a Nov. 24 diplomatic deadline, the same people say.
The October letter marked at least the fourth time Mr. Obama has written Iran’s most powerful political and religious leader since taking office in 2009 and pledging to engage with Tehran’s Islamist government.
obama's pivot towards iran can not come at a better time.
we need to dump our biggest strategic liabilities namely, isreal,
saudi and turkey in that region and gain iran as our biggest strategic
asset going forward in dealing with challenges from both china and russia.
watch this and see turks gone wild.