I'm curious to know what is the best outcome of the current events that people are hoping for.
1. Khamenei will agree to hold another election and Mousavi wins this time. You think Ahmadinejad supporters will accept this result? What if they take to the streets with their guns and dispute the 2nd result as a coup and a sham? Then at best you'll have the police and army on your side and they will get in to a armed fight with the Sepah and Basij and we'll have a civil war in Iran (which may or may not lead to the break up of Iran in to different countries).
2. Khamenei agrees to hold another election and Ahmadinejad wins again and Mousavi supporters will again dispute it and we will be back at square one with demonstrations towards an unclear goal.
3. Khamenei and GC don't agree to re-elections and say the current result stands. Then we'll have 4 possibilities:
a. demonstrations eventually calm down and end and a few innocent people would have been killed or injured without any gain.
b. demonstrations continue and at best army and police start joining the demonstrators which will take us back to the possibility of the civil war in number one.
c. demonstrations continue and by some miracle all the armed forces side with the Mousavi camp and execute Ahmadinejad, Khamenei and their supporters. A sort of a political vacuum will be created which will be filled by Mousavi as president and Rafsanjani or the Expediency Council as the temporary supreme leader.
d. demonstrations continue and by some miracle all the armed forces side with Mousavi and get rid of Khamenei and his camp and then Mousavi turns around and gets rid of the Islamic Republic which he fought to stablish and will instead invite all the foreign opposition groups to come to Iran and have another election to see who and what type of government should be in charge of Iran.
1. Khamenei will agree to hold another election and Mousavi wins this time. You think Ahmadinejad supporters will accept this result? What if they take to the streets with their guns and dispute the 2nd result as a coup and a sham? Then at best you'll have the police and army on your side and they will get in to a armed fight with the Sepah and Basij and we'll have a civil war in Iran (which may or may not lead to the break up of Iran in to different countries).
2. Khamenei agrees to hold another election and Ahmadinejad wins again and Mousavi supporters will again dispute it and we will be back at square one with demonstrations towards an unclear goal.
3. Khamenei and GC don't agree to re-elections and say the current result stands. Then we'll have 4 possibilities:
a. demonstrations eventually calm down and end and a few innocent people would have been killed or injured without any gain.
b. demonstrations continue and at best army and police start joining the demonstrators which will take us back to the possibility of the civil war in number one.
c. demonstrations continue and by some miracle all the armed forces side with the Mousavi camp and execute Ahmadinejad, Khamenei and their supporters. A sort of a political vacuum will be created which will be filled by Mousavi as president and Rafsanjani or the Expediency Council as the temporary supreme leader.
d. demonstrations continue and by some miracle all the armed forces side with Mousavi and get rid of Khamenei and his camp and then Mousavi turns around and gets rid of the Islamic Republic which he fought to stablish and will instead invite all the foreign opposition groups to come to Iran and have another election to see who and what type of government should be in charge of Iran.