I still maintain that deal is already sealed. Sepah will take over first as an interim solution, then as a full blown coup. They will maintain a couple of Akhund figures as religious leaders and some douche like Soleimani or someone else will claim governance leadership first. Then there will be a series of purges and of course there will be stiff opposition to all this, but hey, the one with the gun usually wins.
بعید نیست که خود رژیم باعث و بانی این خبر است
حالا شایعه یا حقیقت
باید تا عید نوروز صبر کنیم تا ببینیم حقیقت است یا شایعه زیرا صد در صد اگر در عید نوروز خامنه ای یا ظاهر نشد یا اگر ظاهر شود مریض حال به نظر برسد
انوقت است که می توان روی چنین خبری حساب کرد
والا ما نو سال پیش از زبان مایکل لدین شنیدیم که خامنه ای شش ماه دیگر بیشتر زنده نیست
حالا شایعه یا حقیقت
باید تا عید نوروز صبر کنیم تا ببینیم حقیقت است یا شایعه زیرا صد در صد اگر در عید نوروز خامنه ای یا ظاهر نشد یا اگر ظاهر شود مریض حال به نظر برسد
انوقت است که می توان روی چنین خبری حساب کرد
والا ما نو سال پیش از زبان مایکل لدین شنیدیم که خامنه ای شش ماه دیگر بیشتر زنده نیست
Well he cannot live forever. Sooner or later IR will be faced with the crisis of succession.
On the one hand, it does not seem that IR has made any concrete succession plans. If it had, we would have seen and heard some signs of it such as a higher profile for the chosen one, etc. On the other hand this regime, in many ways, is much smarter than to leave something as crucial as succession in the air or to chance.
The best case scenario for the country and the government is to see a watered down version of the Supreme Leader emerging. Something that will eventually result in a figure-head without much authority, such as the president position in Germany. We may also see a Supreme Leader Council or something like that during a transition period.
The worst case scenario is for one of the government groups to try to take over at the expense of the other groups that form the governing elite of the regime. In that case, we may witness continued instability, violent infighting, and attempts by foreign governments to fish in muddy waters, including attempts by MKO and its backers to foster further violence and instability.
On the one hand, it does not seem that IR has made any concrete succession plans. If it had, we would have seen and heard some signs of it such as a higher profile for the chosen one, etc. On the other hand this regime, in many ways, is much smarter than to leave something as crucial as succession in the air or to chance.
The best case scenario for the country and the government is to see a watered down version of the Supreme Leader emerging. Something that will eventually result in a figure-head without much authority, such as the president position in Germany. We may also see a Supreme Leader Council or something like that during a transition period.
The worst case scenario is for one of the government groups to try to take over at the expense of the other groups that form the governing elite of the regime. In that case, we may witness continued instability, violent infighting, and attempts by foreign governments to fish in muddy waters, including attempts by MKO and its backers to foster further violence and instability.
دوستان عزیزی که در مورد شایعه به کما رفتن، از کارافتادن برخی از اعضای بدن، به بیمارستان رفتن یا وضعیت بحرانی سلامتی آقای سیدعلی خامنه***ای از من می***پرسند، باید بگویم که هیچ چیزی در این زمینه نمی***دانم. کلا به کما رفتن چیزی عجیبی نیست، ما سالها در کما به سر می***بریم. از کارافتادن برخی از اعضای بدن حتی مغز هم چیزی عجیبی نیست، سالهاست افراد نشان داده اند - حتی در بالاترین سطوح سیاسی کشور- که بدون مغز هم می***شود کار کرد و هم زندگی کرد و این هم چیز عجیبی نیست. وضعیت بحرانی هم دیگه حرفش رو نزنید که کلا یک چیز کاملا عادی است. بنابراین همه این خبرها عادی وهمیشگی است و به دوستانی که برای سفر به شمال برنامه ریزی می***کنند، بگویم که زندگی***تان را بکنید. این ها همه شایعه است!
#Omid Memarian
#Omid Memarian
I dont think there is any plan on who would take over. The group that chooses the leader has not even been able to agree on who its leader would be. These guys cannot come to any agreement. As for Sepah, that is to be seen. Maybe prior to the bloody election demonstration but that is not clear that Sepah would or could do it as they are also divided.
As some experts say, Khamanie dying could be the worst thing during this time as it would probably end up in chaos, etc. And as horrible as he is, it could end up getting much worst.
As some experts say, Khamanie dying could be the worst thing during this time as it would probably end up in chaos, etc. And as horrible as he is, it could end up getting much worst.
یه چیزی رو متوجه شده اید ؟
قبل از دو هفته خامنه ای غیبش می زنه
و بعد ژنرال قاسم سلیمانی که در ماهای اخیر اسمش بر سرزبانها افتاده دوباره به خاطر رهبری جبهه استان صلاح الدین در عراق اسمش
را همه جا می بینیم
از یوتیوب که حتی اسمش را در ترانه های عربی فارسی و کردی می شنویم گرفته
تا رسانه های شرقی و غربی و دیوارهای بغداد و تهران و صنعا و بیروت و دمشق
و خامنهای غیبش می زند
که ببینید من اگر رفتم شما قاسم رو دارید
خنده ام گرفت یادم به سریال دائی جان ناپلئون افتاد که قاسم با تفنگ کذایی اش از دائی جان محافظت می کرد
ولی از شوخی بگذریم فکر می کنم این غیبت خامنه ای در زمانی که سلیمانی بر سر زبانهای افتاده به یکدیگر مربوط می شوند
هرچند که می توان گفت غیبت خامنه ای هم ممکن است تا حدودی ربط به مذاکرات ایران 1+5 داشته باشد
یعنی همانطور که گفتم خود رژیم خواسته چنین شایعه ای پا بگیرد
قبل از دو هفته خامنه ای غیبش می زنه
و بعد ژنرال قاسم سلیمانی که در ماهای اخیر اسمش بر سرزبانها افتاده دوباره به خاطر رهبری جبهه استان صلاح الدین در عراق اسمش
را همه جا می بینیم
از یوتیوب که حتی اسمش را در ترانه های عربی فارسی و کردی می شنویم گرفته
تا رسانه های شرقی و غربی و دیوارهای بغداد و تهران و صنعا و بیروت و دمشق
و خامنهای غیبش می زند
که ببینید من اگر رفتم شما قاسم رو دارید
خنده ام گرفت یادم به سریال دائی جان ناپلئون افتاد که قاسم با تفنگ کذایی اش از دائی جان محافظت می کرد
ولی از شوخی بگذریم فکر می کنم این غیبت خامنه ای در زمانی که سلیمانی بر سر زبانهای افتاده به یکدیگر مربوط می شوند
هرچند که می توان گفت غیبت خامنه ای هم ممکن است تا حدودی ربط به مذاکرات ایران 1+5 داشته باشد
یعنی همانطور که گفتم خود رژیم خواسته چنین شایعه ای پا بگیرد
well khamenie just delivered a lengthy sermon the environment. He seems to be still in control of all faculties.
These things are probably put out there by intelligences agencies and idiotic journalists in search of b.s headlines bite on them.
I don't why naive to think things will improve in absence of khamenie actually it is almost guaranteed that in the short terms things will get much worse.
who knows what faction will win the long term and what the consequences shall be.
These things are probably put out there by intelligences agencies and idiotic journalists in search of b.s headlines bite on them.
I don't why naive to think things will improve in absence of khamenie actually it is almost guaranteed that in the short terms things will get much worse.
who knows what faction will win the long term and what the consequences shall be.
lol Khameney must be a cat because the dude has nine lives. Every year we say "Oh Khameini's health is bad" and every year he gives us the middle finger and cheats death. How old is the dude? Even if he dies now he is like what 110? I know he is not that old but you get where I am going with this and let's assume tomorrow the dude kicks the bucket. It's not going to change anything they will just replace him with the next douchebag hardliner so they will replace him with a younger Khameini. Iran is not the only country with this problem.
