We can safely say Soroosh jaan that the possibililty of an "invasion" is next to nil. It would have no support internationally or domestically and it would be a logistical nighmare of Biblical proportions - the lessons in Iraq and Afghanistan have been learnt. I believe the "military option" has always referred to a decisive and if necessary, sustained air-campaign with a naval blockade and precision surface-to-surface strikes from the Persian Gulf. Even at that, I highly doubt that the US is willing to come acorss as the offender and will wait for Iran, as I mentioned in another thread, to make the first mistake and "force" the US into the conflict with full international support. More and more, we seem to be headed in the direction of the Kosovo War which proved to be decisive without the need for an "invasion".
With the Excpetion of the US and Canada Deerouz jaan, the rest of the world's most industrialized nations (G8) were built up from the ruins of war. Whatever happens in this case, I highly doubt that the devastation on the Iranian side will come close to what England, Germany, France, Italy, Japan or Russia suffered in the 2nd World War. You always say that we should be looking at longer term goals and targets, so if there's a possibility where we can take a step back to move forward and re-build a free and democratic Iran with the help of ALL qualified Iranians (40% of whom reside outside Iran), rather than having an unqualified, oppressive group at the helm, should we not consider that possibility and even embrace it?
Did it take Serbia more than 3 years to get their GDP back to 1998 levels? And 10 years on, are they not 4 times as productive as they were before the Kosovo war? It's really not the end of the world if we look at the big picutre. Of course, the loss of 500-1500 Serb civilians during that conflict is regrettable as will be the loss of any innocent lives in this conflict. But that's not even a notable fraction of how many innocent people have died at the hands of the IR and not even 10% of how many Iranians die on road related accidents every single year! Although the 28,000+ accident related deaths and the related 300,000+ injuries or disabilities do not bring us one step closer to a better Iran, those 500-1000 lives may very well usher in a new era for our country.
Farbod jaan, I have often thought about that myself and although I was completely against both invasions (to our East and West), putting all my prejudices aside, I can't help but notice that both countries have made great leaps forward compared to the days they were being ruled by some oppressive maniacs. Although I want to be very clear that under no circumstances would I support foreign troops setting foot on Iranian soil and still believe that these invasions were poorly planned and executed and remain completely against them, it would be foolish not to notice that Iraq and Afghanistan are both moving forward while we're still moving backward. You only need to speak to Iraqis and Afghans to see that the majority support the developments in their respective countries, despite the sevurity situation and everything else that has happened. Hell, the Afghans had a more transparent and free election than we did! Just give each country another 5 years and we will be sitting here envious of them, still asking ourselves what if...
With the Excpetion of the US and Canada Deerouz jaan, the rest of the world's most industrialized nations (G8) were built up from the ruins of war. Whatever happens in this case, I highly doubt that the devastation on the Iranian side will come close to what England, Germany, France, Italy, Japan or Russia suffered in the 2nd World War. You always say that we should be looking at longer term goals and targets, so if there's a possibility where we can take a step back to move forward and re-build a free and democratic Iran with the help of ALL qualified Iranians (40% of whom reside outside Iran), rather than having an unqualified, oppressive group at the helm, should we not consider that possibility and even embrace it?
Did it take Serbia more than 3 years to get their GDP back to 1998 levels? And 10 years on, are they not 4 times as productive as they were before the Kosovo war? It's really not the end of the world if we look at the big picutre. Of course, the loss of 500-1500 Serb civilians during that conflict is regrettable as will be the loss of any innocent lives in this conflict. But that's not even a notable fraction of how many innocent people have died at the hands of the IR and not even 10% of how many Iranians die on road related accidents every single year! Although the 28,000+ accident related deaths and the related 300,000+ injuries or disabilities do not bring us one step closer to a better Iran, those 500-1000 lives may very well usher in a new era for our country.
Farbod jaan, I have often thought about that myself and although I was completely against both invasions (to our East and West), putting all my prejudices aside, I can't help but notice that both countries have made great leaps forward compared to the days they were being ruled by some oppressive maniacs. Although I want to be very clear that under no circumstances would I support foreign troops setting foot on Iranian soil and still believe that these invasions were poorly planned and executed and remain completely against them, it would be foolish not to notice that Iraq and Afghanistan are both moving forward while we're still moving backward. You only need to speak to Iraqis and Afghans to see that the majority support the developments in their respective countries, despite the sevurity situation and everything else that has happened. Hell, the Afghans had a more transparent and free election than we did! Just give each country another 5 years and we will be sitting here envious of them, still asking ourselves what if...
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