source : on the truce
This was reported by an inside source, September 21, 2009
Rafsanjani incorporated Reformist agendas such as Re-establishment of Khatami’s standing & dignity, avoidance of further public attacks against him & other reformists. Return to mutual respect & curbing coup-like behavior of Sepah.In exchange, Experts meeting will be rather tame, but will be hearing some Reformists. It’ll produce “suggestions” as path forward & a few reminders of values & importance of constitutional law & vote of people expressing their wishes. A major part of the truce is Traditionalists regaining power.
If all goes well, AN’ll embarrass Iran in NYC,which would help even more in swaying SL towards a gradual path to dismantling AN cabinet.
However, it seems the sermon didn’t address all points agreed upon, snubing Rafsanjani & Nateq-Nouri. Rafsanjani seems very upset, especially as pressure of Marja starts weighing on him,which could present him with a day of “either with Marja or regime” reckoning.
Nateq-Nouri & Rafsanjani are trying to curb crisis, and are very concerned with a popular movement detached from reformists or Mousavi/Karubi.It seems that masses r simply against regime.
There are shockwaves & shivers going thru ranks of Principlists, 3 major factions of which are on the verge of breaking up. It looks like Principlists don’t really feel like keeping AN’s faction within their ranks.
Many traditional conservatives,progressive conservatives & some opportunist hardliners don’t believe Khamenei can do anything to regain ppl’s trust. This fuels internal fights.
Nothing can be predicted from here on.