Those of u who ‘ve read me before know that I don’t post a lot and when I do it’s not for hype and hoopla..
I said last yr that our only way out of the Islamic Republic is U.S. military which was frowned upon by many of u. A yr later I still say so why?
Unlike most of u I live here in Iran and bcuz of my type of work I get to talk to all sorts of people in different social strata. Last yr my guess was that about 30% of Iranian population would favor direct American involvement..this yr( again its my guess) that may be about 10% would like to see American military here in Iran. So my opinion for the moment at least is not backed by majority. And its quite understandable, nobody likes war , foreign troops in home land and I’m no different in that respect. I personally would stand to lose everything that I’ve worked for since I’ve been here and whatever I had before.
I too wish a velvet revolution would take place in Iran…changing power without much bloodshed…afterall I live here , my family, friends and myself could be the first victims of such violence rigthaway…so I ‘d also love this change be done by our own people….but it won’t happen….why? The current leaders of IRI did not earn their power easy…they have gone thru a hell of a lot harder times and have survived thru am eight yr war…armed opposition..and all…they are not Shah…are not ordinary humans…didn’t go to school in Swiss…
They studied under satan itself…no liberal tendencies whatsoever….yes..the Aghazades 30 yrs from now might develop a soft bone and let a velvet revolution skip right thru them…..but not these creatures…Khameneie..Rafsamjani and alike..noway.
Majority of Iranians in Iran predict that when push comes to shove IRI would completely back down and throw in the towel including throwing away the Nuclear Industry all together…and everything else just to stay in power…its not that simple IMO…if u agree that our Mulla’s are backed by England and for that matter Euro and Russia….then u better believe that those forces are still at work…Euros and Russia although seemingly in U.S.’s side but they too are not willing to let U.S. be the supreme power and are waging their proxy war with U.S. through Iran..and are building up the IRI’s confidence behind the closed doors..and it shows..Mulla’s like any other human being are at moment pretty confident..and why not? With all the talk about the regime change and all..IMO…at the moment IRI is at the height of their power..although this power has nograss root support among Iranians, but u’d be naïve if u deny IRI’s power.. it’s a satanic power , its hollow…..but the power is there to cause havoc in the region and the world.
IRI sees itself 3 or 4 yrs removed from staying in power for at least another 20 yrs…if they manage to survive the Bush era and get a nuke bomb in between..they are in for a long long time….I agree with Noorizade in that “ Bush has spoken its mind..its now up to our people to show up in the streets and if 200,000 people in Tehran would pour in the streets protesting the regime , IRI would be out of power in 2 weeks”.
All good ….but I don’t see a major rally coming at all…the mechanism needed to put together this rally are non existant….no unity among opposition…no charismatic leader…and on top an IRI that would quell any such thing with outmost cruelty….so IMO..u can ..unfortunately kiss a velvet revolution goodbye…and realistically we got 2 yrs to go thru the diplomatic bs to tame IRI….
The bad news is U.S military is our only hope…and it will be nasty in the short run…but let us for a change have meaningful and not an emotional sacrifice..leave and let go our own good for the better future..so that 20 yrs from now we won’t look back and say khosh be hale ArAghi ha
The good news is joloye zarar o har che zootar bigiri jelotari…
I said last yr that our only way out of the Islamic Republic is U.S. military which was frowned upon by many of u. A yr later I still say so why?
Unlike most of u I live here in Iran and bcuz of my type of work I get to talk to all sorts of people in different social strata. Last yr my guess was that about 30% of Iranian population would favor direct American involvement..this yr( again its my guess) that may be about 10% would like to see American military here in Iran. So my opinion for the moment at least is not backed by majority. And its quite understandable, nobody likes war , foreign troops in home land and I’m no different in that respect. I personally would stand to lose everything that I’ve worked for since I’ve been here and whatever I had before.
I too wish a velvet revolution would take place in Iran…changing power without much bloodshed…afterall I live here , my family, friends and myself could be the first victims of such violence rigthaway…so I ‘d also love this change be done by our own people….but it won’t happen….why? The current leaders of IRI did not earn their power easy…they have gone thru a hell of a lot harder times and have survived thru am eight yr war…armed opposition..and all…they are not Shah…are not ordinary humans…didn’t go to school in Swiss…
They studied under satan itself…no liberal tendencies whatsoever….yes..the Aghazades 30 yrs from now might develop a soft bone and let a velvet revolution skip right thru them…..but not these creatures…Khameneie..Rafsamjani and alike..noway.
Majority of Iranians in Iran predict that when push comes to shove IRI would completely back down and throw in the towel including throwing away the Nuclear Industry all together…and everything else just to stay in power…its not that simple IMO…if u agree that our Mulla’s are backed by England and for that matter Euro and Russia….then u better believe that those forces are still at work…Euros and Russia although seemingly in U.S.’s side but they too are not willing to let U.S. be the supreme power and are waging their proxy war with U.S. through Iran..and are building up the IRI’s confidence behind the closed doors..and it shows..Mulla’s like any other human being are at moment pretty confident..and why not? With all the talk about the regime change and all..IMO…at the moment IRI is at the height of their power..although this power has nograss root support among Iranians, but u’d be naïve if u deny IRI’s power.. it’s a satanic power , its hollow…..but the power is there to cause havoc in the region and the world.
IRI sees itself 3 or 4 yrs removed from staying in power for at least another 20 yrs…if they manage to survive the Bush era and get a nuke bomb in between..they are in for a long long time….I agree with Noorizade in that “ Bush has spoken its mind..its now up to our people to show up in the streets and if 200,000 people in Tehran would pour in the streets protesting the regime , IRI would be out of power in 2 weeks”.
All good ….but I don’t see a major rally coming at all…the mechanism needed to put together this rally are non existant….no unity among opposition…no charismatic leader…and on top an IRI that would quell any such thing with outmost cruelty….so IMO..u can ..unfortunately kiss a velvet revolution goodbye…and realistically we got 2 yrs to go thru the diplomatic bs to tame IRI….
The bad news is U.S military is our only hope…and it will be nasty in the short run…but let us for a change have meaningful and not an emotional sacrifice..leave and let go our own good for the better future..so that 20 yrs from now we won’t look back and say khosh be hale ArAghi ha
The good news is joloye zarar o har che zootar bigiri jelotari…
LOL 
