I have been quite clear all a long why I brought up the discussion around gold companies not doing all that well- it was to drive the point that gold prices have been going up to large extent because it's getting more difficult to extract gold not because of anticipation for a currency dooms day as you and other Ron Paulists go around claiming.
But that's what
you think is why. Personally, I don't see how demand for jewelery has gold jumping from ~900 to ~1600 in a matter of a few years. And in many ways, its irrelevant; because the larger point about the consistency it has in retaining value. Has it? The answer is a resounding 'yes'.
In the long-run we're all dead - most ordinary people have investment horizons less than 20-30 years. The person who bought gold in 1980 and sold it 20 years later got burned pretty good.
Which is why its good to look at the intentions of those investing. People like Paul who fear inflationary policies and the currency going into the shitter realise it could happen in the next 10 years or the next 100. But they're convinced it will happen, regardless whether they benefit themselves or not. That's why they invest in gold.
Moreover, you're talking about someone like Paul - small government, hates government spending, etc. He'd not buy bonds simply off principle - so as not to give the government any more ways to spend money.
Read what I wrote above - What if there is a gold price crash? like the one in 1970s or the one in 1980s?
Gold may be around forever but its value could change for many reasons. 50% of the world's supply of gold is being used in Jewelry - what happens when people stop caring about jewelry? what happens if we start mining other planets and start finding much more precious metals to be used in jewelry?
Companies may come and go - but owning an index of the ones that survive or the ones that emerge is not betting on any particular company. Unless you're stating that at some point all companies may go away and there won't be any enterprise left, in which case if you're investing in gold in anticipation of armagadon's day there are many many other things you should be doing like digging bunkers, owning guns, and acquiring machines that filter your piss into water.
I've read quite a bit in the past day re why gold performed that way during the 70s and even then there are arguments, but I won't delve into that.
There can be what-ifs for many scenarios. But of the what-ifs we have to compare, the value of gold over history has been remarkably stable. Its a less dangerous what-if. And as far as Paul or people who share his persuasions are concerned: they'd much rather bet on gold than a fiat currency.
Bottom line is that one ounce of gold is just as arbitrary gauge for value as is one-unit of confidence in the federal reserve. Except the latter allows for flexible policy making to avert or react to recessions. It because of feds more control over the money supply that we've been able to have fewer recessions over recent times.
You state that as if its a fact. It's not, to quote our dear Friedman: "No major institution in the U.S. has so poor a record of performance over so
long a period as the Federal Reserve". Even though, it must be said, that he thought Greenspan did the best job in his tenure. The Austrians likewise purport the complete opposite of what you said. In general, the argument re the Fed is not to do with it having to be Gold, it could be anything, literally. Their argument that it is at least something; tangible, identifiable and not easily manipulated. The fact that the Fed works in total secrecy means that even if you were of the persuasion that as it exists it is fine, you don't actually know to whose ends the Fed is working towards. If gold is an arbitrary gauge, at least it is an objective arbitrary gauge.