Argentina 95%, Nigeria 60%, Iran 25%, Bosnia 20% will go through to the next round.
We have the least valuable players by miles but our advantages are a good coach, unknown players, longer preparation, being underdogs, and that most of our players will be better rested than European based players before the WC. Bosnia are too proud of themselves and that is the number one killer in the WC. Nigerians are good individually, will do well in the hot humid climate, and they are physical. They just lack cohesive intelligence of the top 10 teams. The chance of them hurting others is more than the chance they help themselves. Argentina is loaded, no real odds against them, 5% is just for accounting for when things go randomly wrong.